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A leader who can't speak and power in the hands of generals: What's happening in Iran

2026-04-24 23:27:02Kosova&Bota SHKRUAR NGA REDAKSIA VOX

A leader who can't speak and power in the hands of generals: What's

Raised in the shadows, elected in secret and living wounded in clandestine conditions. He does not speak, does not appear in public: the man at the center of the Iranian enigma, Mojtaba Khamenei, is presented as an invisible and, in fact, weak leader. In Tehran, meanwhile, power seems to have passed into the hands of the generals, a new generation of the Revolutionary Guard (pasdaran), formed by the war with Iraq in the 1980s and the current clash with the United States.

The fate of the young Khamenei, 56, who was selected as Supreme Leader amid the bombings, has been the subject of much speculation in recent weeks. This follows the assassination of his father, Ali Khamenei, who left him power without his knowledge and, most likely, without his desire. According to a reconstruction published by The New York Times, based on multiple sources, the health and mental state of the young leader are described as “lucid and active”, but at the same time very fragile.

He reportedly underwent three surgeries on his legs and is awaiting a prosthetic, and has also had surgery on his hand, the function of which is being restored. He also has severe burns to his face and lips that make it difficult to speak and may require further plastic surgery.

Access to him is almost impossible, even for senior state officials. Communication is via a complex network of couriers, who travel on motorbikes and in vehicles, delivering messages in sealed envelopes. He is reportedly surrounded mainly by a team of doctors and medical personnel, engaged in treating wounds sustained in airstrikes. Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian, himself a surgeon, is said to be directly involved in his medical care.

Regardless of the accuracy of individual details, journalist Farnaz Fassihi's reporting reinforces a reality that has become clear in recent weeks and is also confirmed by Iranian sources: the real center of power in Iran is the Pasdaran.

This does not mean that civil officials and politicians no longer have a role, but they are mainly concerned with the administration of the country, while strategic decisions are made by the military structures. The rise of generals in Iran is not a new phenomenon, it has been built for years and Mojtaba Khamenei himself is considered to have been among its architects. However, the recent conflict has weakened other factions, including moderate and civilian ones.

Among the key figures in this circle are names such as Ahmad Vahidi, head of the Revolutionary Guard; Mohsen Rezaei, military advisor to the Supreme Leader; Mohammad Bagher Zolghadr, secretary of the National Security Council; Hossein Taeb, former Pasdaran intelligence minister; Ali Jafari, former Guard commander; and Mohammad Ghalibaf, the main Iranian negotiator who hails from the ranks of this force.

Ghalibaf has publicly denied the existence of divisions within this collective leadership, declaring that “there are no moderates or radicals, Iran is one nation.” A similar message has been spread by President Pezeshkian, in an apparent attempt to show unity.

However, according to various sources from Iran and Pakistan, the reality may be more complex. Pragmatic figures such as Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi and the president himself are said to have been left on the periphery of decision-making, both in matters of war and diplomacy.

During the first round of negotiations, internal clashes were reported within the Iranian delegation. Upon his return to Tehran, Araghchi's statements on the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz were harshly criticized by the IRGC-affiliated media. A similar situation had occurred with President Pezeshkian at the beginning of the conflict, following his conciliatory statements towards the Gulf countries.

According to these sources, the Revolutionary Guard is leading both military developments and the negotiating strategy, including the Hormuz issue and the postponement of the talks. After a meeting in Islamabad, their assessment was that the Iranian side was in danger of reaching a premature agreement, which has led to a tougher stance.

The current situation is described as a game of waiting and mutual consumption. While the United States continues the naval blockade and demands clear concessions on its nuclear program, Iran has not given any signs of backing down. The risk of a miscalculation remains present and could lead to a new escalation of the conflict.


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