Donald Trump has built much of his foreign policy on the idea that the United States should be feared again. But this time something paradoxical happened: Saudi Arabia, one of Washington's most important allies in the Middle East, asked Trump to intervene, and he refused twice. According to the Axios agency, Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman called him twice on the same day, Thursday, and in the second call he explicitly asked him to authorize attacks against the Houthis, who are advancing in the Red Sea and threatening Saudi exports. Trump refused, limiting himself to promising the help of American intelligence services. This behind-the-scenes story was confirmed by ABC News, CNN and Reuters, which cited sources in the US administration.
Backed by Tehran, the Houthis have advanced along Yemen’s Red Sea coast and have taken Mocha and Perim Island, increasing their control of the strategic Bab el-Mandeb Strait, the southern gateway to the Red Sea. This position has given them a strategic advantage from which to threaten or attack shipping passing through the strait. But for Riyadh, there is an even more immediate problem: The Houthis have threatened Saudi shipping and oil exports, which had found an alternative to the Iranian-controlled blockade of the Strait of Hormuz. If the Houthis were to close Bab el-Mandeb, it would be a worst-case scenario: they would risk another 7% of global oil supplies and about 12% of world trade. This provides the Iranians with tremendous leverage.
Trump has hinted that American power comes at a price that Washington is not always willing to pay, partly because the president, with his popularity waning at home due to the war with Iran and a military arsenal that has been reduced in recent months, does not want to open another front and break a deal reached with the Yemenis a year ago. But this stance, as is often the case, was expressed by the president through a series of statements that caused denials and irritation. From Dublin, where he is on an official visit, Trump attributed (“most likely”) to Iran, and not the Houthis, responsibility for the attack on Saudi Arabia’s East-West oil pipeline (which Riyadh was forced to close, suffering damage to exports), then revealed that the Houthis had asked him not to intervene. “We had some contacts. They called us and said they don’t want to deal with them. They don’t want to fight us.” He then declared that "everything will go well" in the Strait of Hormuz and that "the price of oil will fall once the war is over."
The Houthis later denied it. In a post published on X, Hazem al-Assad, a member of the political bureau of Ansarullah, the “Partisans of God,” called Trump’s statements “baseless and false.” “As usual, with his clownish lies, the criminal Trump comes up with statements without any basis,” he added.
Now there are two fronts, not just one. And yet, just a short time ago, Trump promised financial isolation that would bring Iran to its knees and turn the conflict around. Even then, as after the outbreak of war in late February, the US president had promised quick results. The goal was to squeeze Tehran economically while keeping the war low-key so that it would not increase the cost of living in the United States. The Houthis have thwarted the plan. Trump cannot allow the Yemenis to close the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, causing a further increase in energy prices, but he also does not want to get into another dead end.