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AFD's victory in Germany, Dominique Moisi: Now Putin is supporting the arrival of Le Pen to destabilize Europe

2026-09-09 19:14:53Kosova&Bota SHKRUAR NGA REDAKSIA VOX
AFD's victory in Germany, Dominique Moisi: Now Putin is supporting the
Vladimir Putin

The AfD's victory in Saxony-Anhalt is seen as a development of great symbolic weight for German politics and the future of Europe.

Dominique Moisi, one of the founders of the French Institute for International Relations (IFRI) and one of the most renowned French analysts of geopolitics, interprets this result not only as a consequence of the political peculiarities of the former East Germany, but also as a sign of a deeper transformation of German society.

In this interview, Moisi talks about the impact of the war in Ukraine on the East German vote, Russian propaganda and interference in European politics, and the possibility of the AfD coming to power in Germany and the Rassemblement National in France. According to him, Moscow aims to create division and destabilization in Europe, while the upcoming elections in France will also be decisive for the direction Germany may take.

interview

How much does the war in Ukraine weigh on the East German vote?

Dominique Moisi: Very much. In the former East Germany, the idea that the policy towards Russia is dangerous and that war is already very close is much more widespread than in the rest of Germany. We must also remember that Russia has focused its propaganda efforts precisely on spreading this view.

Germany is a privileged target for Moscow, because for a time it seemed like the weak link in the Western world. We only need to remember Gerhard Schröder's closeness to Russia or Germany's long hesitation to rearm. Then, with Putin and Trump, Germany changed course precisely at a moment when East Germans were less willing to accept this change.

Is it still possible to prevent the AfD from coming to power?

Dominique Moisi: This will also depend on what happens in France. From this perspective, the French presidential elections in the spring, which will take place before the German national elections, will be decisive.

Until now, Germans have looked with great concern at France and wondered what would happen if the Rassemblement National came to power. Now they can tell themselves that this is no longer just a hypothesis, but almost a probability.

Is there a parallel between the AfD and the Rassemblement National?

Dominique Moisi: Yes, even though the RN insists that it is much more moderate and that it is not a far-right party, but a conservative right-wing one. In fact, it has distanced itself from the AfD.

It remains to be seen how much of this behavior is tactical and how much of this evolution reflects something deeper. In France, I already see three poles: the France of revolution, represented by La France Insoumise; the France of exclusion, represented by the Rassemblement National; and the France of reason, that is, the other parties. The problem is that the latter is failing to find political representation.

Friedrich Merz has changed his stance on immigration and security in an attempt to curb the AfD. Is the election result also a personal failure for him?

Dominique Moisi: Those who were truly against immigration preferred to choose the original rather than the copy. But there is a second element. The strength of the AfD in Germany, as well as the RN in France, is that neither of these parties has yet had the opportunity to disappoint its voters, because it has never governed.

Now voters are tempted to give them a chance to test them. Added to this is Merz's personal problem. His start to his term has been difficult. In the eyes of many Germans, he seems even more arrogant than Macron does in the eyes of the French. Germany has perhaps gone from Scholz's "too little" to Merz's "too much."

What does this result indicate about the Germans' relationship with Russia?

Dominique Moisi: It's definitely good news for Putin, but also for Trump and JD Vance. It's bad news for Zelensky and for the European Union.

We are faced with an extraordinary paradox: ultranationalist parties actually become parties in the service of the foreigner, because they play Moscow's game, both in Paris and in Magdeburg.

Does the Kremlin aim to destabilize our democracies?

Dominique Moisi: I would say that the Russians are much more capable of destabilizing Europe than of advancing on the ground in Ukraine.

In 2027, France and Italy will also vote, and we must do everything to ensure that these are truly free and fair elections, despite Moscow's all-out efforts to prevent them from being so.

Putin aims for disorder. After all, for him the enemy is Brussels. An AfD in power in Berlin and a Rassemblement National in power in Paris would be terrible news for the European Union.

Interview with journalist Anais Ginori, La Repubblica


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