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"Trump is in a bind in Iran and is looking for an exit strategy. The energy crisis is scaring him."

2026-03-10 22:49:01Kosova&Bota SHKRUAR NGA REDAKSIA VOX
"Trump is in a bind in Iran and is looking for an exit strategy. The energy
Donald Trump

The prominent American professor and author of the classic book Just and Unjust Wars in 1977, Michael Walzer, at the age of 91, provides a clear analysis for La Repubblica on the current political and military situation in Iran.

He argues that the US-Israeli intervention in Iran has caused a serious stalemate, reinforced by rising energy prices and domestic political pressure in the US. Walzer explains that Trump is trying to present a false victory and is seeking an “exit strategy,” while allies like Israel are concerned about his credibility.

Prof. Walzer, with the intervention in Iran, has Trump entered a dilemma?

Walzer: Yes.

And what will he do now?

Walzer: There are several options. But the Israelis are terrified that he might abandon them before he finishes the "job."

In fact, yesterday Trump said that "the war in Iran is almost over."

Walzer: See? He's looking for an "exit strategy," declaring a false victory. Trump has made a big mistake with this unwinnable war. Especially in the face of a major energy crisis that will drive up gas and oil prices, angering his constituents. The populist MAGA base is heating up and could rebel. His administration is divided; just look at what Secretary of State Rubio said: "Israel dragged us into this war." Netanyahu is sweating.

Do you think Trump could betray his strong ally Netanyahu so much?

Walzer : Trump is a narcissist. He only thinks about himself. He will always be an unreliable ally. Also for Israel, for whom the threat from Iran is existential. Just as he will be unreliable for millions of Iranians who see in him a savior from a terrible and violent regime. It will end like in Venezuela: the leader's departure may happen, but nothing changes in the country. Far from the freedom and democracy he promised.

How could Trump have thought that Iran was a weak country like Venezuela?

Walzer : He was deeply deluded. Iran is a much stronger, more stable country, still under the rule of the Islamic Republic. He would have to attack it massively and on many fronts to make a revolution, but I doubt he will. In fact, I don't know how much of the Iranian population is willing to live under constant bombs. Therefore, the uprisings of activists these days have been more limited than before.

And the new leader is Khamenei's son...

Walzer: Another blow to Trump's plans. He did not expect such an election and the continuation of the regime. Even deeper radicalization.

But what if Trump changes his mind and attacks Iran again with force?

Walzer: Then ground troops would be needed. But the Kurds no longer want to be used by the Americans without fair compensation. Then Washington could send special forces, mainly to sabotage Iranian nuclear facilities. But this is a colossal risk.

In this scenario, could Iran become another Iraq for the US?

Walzer: Much worse than Iraq.

Why?

Walzer: This is a regime that is much more ideological and fanatical than Saddam's. They know they can stop Trump and Israel from waging war by causing a global energy crisis that the West cannot afford, given what's happening in Ukraine. And if a civil conflict breaks out in Iran, it would be uncontrollable for the Americans.

But the Israelis and Trump say this is a just war. Those of you who have theorized about just wars, do you agree?

Walzer: Absolutely not. If the Israeli-American bombings last year against nuclear facilities might have been just, given the existential threat to Israel, this current war is not. It is not just.

 

 


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