
American magazine Forbes estimates that Russian President Vladimir Putin is facing an increasingly difficult situation, between the war in Ukraine, domestic pressures and the perceived weakening of the Kremlin's position.
According to the published analysis, the magazine's columnists leave open the possibility that Putin's stay in power may not have a clear deadline, if current political and military trends continue.
The article mentions the ongoing drone attacks from Ukraine, which Forbes says have affected fuel supplies to Crimea, creating long lines of vehicles and logistical problems during the tourist season. The Kerch Strait is considered one of the key supply corridors and a strategic point of symbolic and operational importance for Russia.
The analysis emphasizes that the image of war has a direct impact on political stability, as when the consequences become visible to public opinion, they can also affect the legitimacy of power. According to Forbes, this could signal a gradual erosion of Putin's credibility.
The article also dwells on internal tensions within Russian elites, citing statements by military bloggers warning of discontent and growing political fear at the highest levels of the state.
According to the analysis, these developments could create a climate of uncertainty in the Russian political camp, where officials and figures close to power worry about their future in the event of destabilization.
Forbes mentions several possible scenarios for Putin's political future, ranging from a forced removal from power, to a violent overthrow or a symbolic trial that would turn him into a "scapegoat" for the Kremlin's policies.
In conclusion, the magazine estimates that if the current situation continues to deteriorate, there is a possibility that Putin will lose power within the next three years.