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Gaza surprise attack, how Israeli intelligence failed to uncover Hamas plans

2023-10-07 14:37:52Kosova&Bota SHKRUAR NGA REDAKSIA VOX
Gaza surprise attack, how Israeli intelligence failed to uncover Hamas plans
Fire in the Israeli city of Ashkelon, after the launch of rockets from Gaza

Hamas's surprise attack on Israel, on the 50th anniversary of the Yom Kippur war, will be remembered as an unprecedented intelligence failure for centuries.

Within hours, dozens of Gazan militants broke through the border fence in southern Israel, taking local military positions by surprise.

Gunmen kidnapped and killed Israelis in southern border communities, filming their attack as they advanced in several directions.

While images of several thousand rockets streaking the sky have become familiar over the years during the fighting around Gaza, images of Hamas soldiers roaming the streets shooting cars and pedestrians are scenes unseen by most Israelis, for whom the attacks short term in cities have become a part of life.

This is surprising, because Israel's surveillance of Palestinian society is very sophisticated. It monitors the activity of Hamas in particular, which is one of the most important tasks for establishing security.

The Resource Development Network is almost comprehensive in their task of identifying potential informants in the Occupied Palestinian Territories.

Members of militant groups inside Israeli prisons have also historically been targeted by intelligence efforts.

All this makes Israel's attitude towards the planned attack by Hamas even more surprising.

Israel's surveillance technology industry, as evidenced by the Pegasus spy scandal, is among the most advanced in the world. Despite all this, Hamas' preparations were not revealed.

It is also true that Hamas has become much more adept at adapting to the military challenges it faces, often expending great effort in planning and identifying Israeli weaknesses.

While it is known from previous rounds of fighting in Gaza that Hamas has worked to develop independent and multiple military communications networks, this suggests two things.

The first is that the attack was planned at a level of operational security, not only within Hamas but also between rival Gaza factions, unprecedented in previous rounds of fighting.

Military analysts suggest that Hamas likely used significant bluff or deception, infiltration, and multi-pronged attack to create maximum chaos.

Gaza surprise attack, how Israeli intelligence failed to uncover Hamas plans
A group of Palestinians carry the body of an Israeli youth killed on the southern border between Israel and Gaza

What is clear is that some points of Israeli surveillance did not work. It did not reveal the planning, the gathering, but most importantly, when Hamas fighters were gathering and approaching border areas monitored by regular patrols. Cameras, ground motion sensors and remote-controlled mini-cannons, which have proved effective in the past against attempts to attack the border fence, did not work.

All this suggests an operation which required a great deal of preparation.

Perhaps important is the fact – as Israeli media have pointed out – that the incidents with Hamas in recent months were not identified by Israeli defense forces and intelligence agencies as part of a war.

The Israeli media asks the inevitable question: How could this have been allowed to happen on the 50th anniversary of the Yom Kippur war, itself considered a colossal intelligence failure when Israel was attacked by an Aran coalition.

"All of Israel is asking themselves: Where is the IDF, where is the police, where is the security?" asked Eli Maron, the former head of the Israeli navy.

“It is a colossal failure; Hierarchies have simply failed, with great consequences."

On social media and elsewhere, Israeli leaders — including Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu — are being openly criticized.

However, one thing is clear: This attack comes amid a period of deep social upheaval for Israel. Netanyahu's far-right government, filled with individuals in cabinet roles who should not hold public office, such as Itamar Ben Gvir, the minister for national security, have all this time poured gasoline on what was already a very difficult situation. flammable in the occupied territories.

Netanyahu's futile and self-serving conflict with large sections of Israeli society over his much-criticized plans to undermine the country's supreme court, even as he is in the midst of legal proceedings on corruption charges, has overwhelmed public debate, prompting many reservists threaten to stop services.

Even when Netanyahu finally spoke, he did so to reflect a deeply shaken Israeli political and security establishment. This was not an "operation" or a "round" of fighting, but a state of war," he said.

Hamas is not capable of sustaining the incursion for long, so it seems awfully clear how it will end.

The bigger question is the extent of Israel's response. Already billed as a war, the Hamas offensive will put pressure on Netanyahu from the far right, which has long pushed for a final assault on Gaza. Messages from friends in Gaza and Israel show that fear of what comes next is great. Peter Beaumont- The Guardian/ VOXNEWS

 

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