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Merz's political future in question

2026-09-20 16:18:58Kosova&Bota SHKRUAR NGA REDAKSIA VOX

Merz's political future in question

Voters in two German states are voting this Sunday in regional elections taking place in a tense political climate, with the outcome likely to affect Chancellor Friedrich Merz's position and the future of his government.

Around 2.5 million people are eligible to vote in Berlin, while in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern there are around 1.3 million voters. Polling stations opened at 08:00 and will close at 18:00, when the first projections of results are expected.

The far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) party aims to consolidate its results after the recent elections in Saxony-Anhalt, where it achieved its highest result ever recorded in a regional election.

The election results are expected to be followed with particular attention within the Christian Democratic Union (CDU), Chancellor Merz's party.

Merz has rejected calls for his resignation and said he intends to stay in office for the full four-year term. He has defended the government's package of economic and social reforms, which he sees as necessary to pull Germany out of its economic slump.

However, personal support for the chancellor has weakened significantly. According to data cited in the reports, his approval rating has fallen to around 10%.

Following the elections in Saxony-Anhalt, discussions about his future at the head of the government have increased, although early parliamentary elections are not currently considered the main scenario.

Race in Berlin

In Berlin, the CDU faces a tough race for first place with the left-wing party Die Linke.

One of the main issues of the campaign is the high cost of housing. Around 85% of households in Berlin live in rented accommodation, while advertised rents have almost doubled since 2014.

The AfD ranks among the parties with the highest support in polls, although it is not expected to emerge as the leading force.

The CDU in Berlin is led by Stefan Evers, after current mayor Kai Wegner withdrew from running for a new term in July.

Difficult situation for the CDU in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern

In Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, the race between the AfD and the Social Democrats is very close, while the CDU risks getting a single-digit result.

If the CDU were to fall below the 5% threshold and lose representation in the state parliament, this would be an unprecedented result for the party in the post-war period.

Meanwhile, the AfD comes into these elections after success in Saxony-Anhalt, where the mobilization of voters who previously did not participate in the elections played an important role.

The economy and immigration at the center of the debate
The political pressure on the Merz government is also linked to economic developments. Although some economic indicators have improved, the rising cost of living and the weakening of traditional industrial sectors, including the automotive industry, have increased dissatisfaction.

The government has also recorded a decrease in the number of new arrivals at the border, but this has not been enough to bring back AfD supporters.

The party has focused its campaign on economic concerns, crime and opposition to Merz's policy of supporting Ukraine.

The results of the two regional elections are expected to provide an important signal about the political climate in Germany and the balance of power between the main parties and the AfD.


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