
The International Monetary Fund, IMF, like the World Bank, predicts that until the end of 2024, Albania's economy will grow by 3.3%. The October forecast is higher than that of April when the IMF expected growth of 3.1%.
For 2025, the IMF's expectation remains unchanged at 3.4%.
Although the IMF's expectations for Albania have increased, it is predicted to have performed lower than Serbia, Kosovo and Montenegro.
Serbia is expected to have the highest growth, with 3.9%, followed by Kosovo with 3.8% and Montenegro with 3.7%. Albania leaves behind Bosnia and Herzegovina and North Macedonia, with 2.5 and 2% respectively.
For 2025, the country is expected to have the second lowest growth in the region (3.4%), leaving behind only Bosnia, with 3%. The record is expected to be held again by the Serbian economy, which is expected to accelerate to 4.1%.
The IMF estimates in the report that the global battle against inflation has been largely won, although pressures on prices continue in some countries. After peaking at 9.4% on an annual basis in the third quarter of 2022, the IMF total rates increase forecast for Albania, but the economy remains among the slowest in the region.
Moreover, despite a high and synchronized level of monetary policy tightening around the world, the global economy has remained remarkably resilient throughout the disinflationary process, avoiding a global recession. Global growth is projected to remain steady at 3.2% in 2024 and 2025, although some countries, particularly low-income developing countries, have seen significant revisions to the slowdown in growth, often as a result of increased conflict.