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Why the next 72 hours are crucial for global order

2026-01-03 18:50:09Kosova&Bota SHKRUAR NGA REDAKSIA VOX
Why the next 72 hours are crucial for global order
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The next 72 hours could mark a profound shift in the global order.

If the United States manages to establish control over Venezuela – and, indirectly, over the world's largest proven oil reserves – it would mark a significant shift in the international balance of power.

Such a development would not be about restoring democracy, or protecting human rights, but about restoring strategic dominance over energy, trade routes, and regional alliances.

In such a scenario, Iran would immediately rise to the top of Washington's strategic priorities.

Placing Venezuelan oil under American influence would significantly reduce US vulnerability to energy disruptions in the Persian Gulf and create a buffer against supply shocks in the event of a clash with Tehran.

With a sustainable alternative source of heavy oil under its control, Washington would be in a better position to cope with or compensate for the destruction or shutdown of energy infrastructure in the Persian Gulf during a conflict.

This would reduce the economic cost of escalation and make military pressure on Iran more manageable, both politically and economically.

At the same time, such control would strengthen the United States' ability to steer global oil flows and prices, consolidating the dollar's central role in energy markets and helping to preserve the petrodollar system, a key pillar of American financial power.

In this context, Venezuela would cease to be simply a regional issue. It would become a strategic precedent: a demonstration that economic pressure, political engineering and, if necessary, the use of force can be used to restructure sovereign states and re-align the global balance of power.

However, if the United States gets involved in Venezuela and faces sustained resistance, the outcome would change radically.

A prolonged crisis would consume political capital, stretch military and economic resources, and weaken Washington's ability to project power on other fronts, including the Middle East.

Such a scenario would also complicate Israel's strategic planning, which is closely linked to the US's regional leverage.

What happens in Venezuela will not stay in Latin America. It will directly affect the future of energy control, the real limits of American power, and the direction of the global geopolitical conflict – far beyond Caracas.


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