
Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni is considering the possibility of holding the next parliamentary elections as early as April next year, a few months before the legal deadline that expires at the end of 2027.
According to sources cited by Bloomberg, Meloni fears that the longer she waits, the more support for her government could fall. Another concern is the time the new government would have to approve the state budget, which must be passed by the end of the year.
According to the same sources, the idea has also been discussed with the office of President Sergio Mattarella, who has the power to dissolve parliament and call new elections. Meloni's and Mattarella's offices have not commented on the reports.
Pressure on the prime minister has mounted since March, when she lost a referendum on judicial reform, leading to the dismissal of three government officials. At the same time, the far-right Futuro Nazionale party has gained ground in the polls, accusing Meloni of becoming too moderate.
According to an average of polls published by AGI and Youtrend, Futuro Nazionale is the only political force to have increased. Meanwhile, the center-left coalition results in 44.6 percent of support, compared to 43.8 percent for the center-right coalition led by Meloni.
The Italian prime minister also comes after a public clash with US President Donald Trump over the G7 summit. While this clash may bring her political benefits at home, the balance she has attempted to maintain with the US administration has come at a cost both at home and abroad.
The economic situation remains another challenge. The war with Iran and global trade tensions have negatively affected the Italian economy. The budget deficit for 2025 turned out to be higher than expected and above the European Union's 3 percent limit, forcing the government to lower its growth forecasts. Public debt, meanwhile, remains above 130 percent of GDP.
This means less financial space for measures that have supported Meloni's electorate, such as tax cuts and aid for families facing high energy bills.
At the same time, pressure is also expected to increase from the ruling coalition partners. The League and Forza Italia have different spending priorities, and meeting all demands could require increased borrowing, a sensitive issue for Italy due to its high debt level.
According to Bloomberg, calling elections before these issues collide could prove to be the least politically risky option for Meloni.
Another factor is the electoral reform that is expected to be discussed in parliament this week. The proposal foresees a proportional system and a large bonus of seats for the coalition that secures more than 42 percent of the vote.
Later this summer, Meloni's government is expected to become Italy's longest-serving since World War II. (Bloomberg)