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2026-10-28 19:44:43Kosova&Bota SHKRUAR NGA REDAKSIA VOX

Israel is facing a new political impasse after the October 27 parliamentary elections. Partial results released Wednesday morning, with over 60% of votes counted, show that neither Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's bloc nor that of his rival Gadi Eisenkot have secured the majority of the 61 seats needed to form a government.

According to the Israeli newspaper Haaretz, the results so far have further complicated efforts to create a majority, leaving open three scenarios for the country's political future.

Minority government, an increasingly remote possibility

Gadi Eisenkot had stated that he would try to form a minority government, with the support of Arab parties in parliament.

However, partial results show that his bloc, excluding Arab parties, lags behind Netanyahu's.

Under these conditions, forming a government would require the Arab Joint List to abstain and at least one MP from the Arab Ra'am party to vote in favor of the new cabinet. Depending on the final results, even more votes could be needed.

The main obstacle remains the opposition of several opposition parties to such a formula. Avigdor Lieberman and Naftali Bennett have previously stated that they do not support a government dependent on Arab parties.

According to Haaretz, even if the two blocs end up with an equal number of seats, the possibilities for a minority government remain very limited.

Unity government, Netanyahu's way to stay in power

The second scenario is the creation of a broad unity government, which could include parties from both political blocs.

In his post-election statement, Netanyahu thanked his allies and called for the "Zionist majority to unite."

The message was interpreted by political actors as a signal that the prime minister intends to maintain the alliance with far-right leaders Itamar Ben-Gvir and Bezalel Smotrich, as well as with ultra-Orthodox parties.

However, according to political sources cited by Haaretz, Netanyahu may face pressure to form a broader coalition, including from Israeli President Isaac Herzog and international actors.

In this context, political sources do not rule out an intervention by US President Donald Trump in favor of a unity government.

For Eisenkot and his allies, such a deal poses political risks. There is concern within the opposition that Netanyahu could topple the government before fulfilling an agreement on the rotation of the prime minister's post.

This could leave the parties that would enter the coalition without the opportunity to take the lead in the government and with a political cost to their electorate.

New elections, with Netanyahu at the head of a caretaker government

If negotiations to form a government fail, Israel could go to elections again.

According to Haaretz's analysis, this is a scenario that is being seriously considered by political actors, despite the extremely high turnout in the October 27th elections.

Netanyahu may see the repeat election as an opportunity to change the parliamentary record, calculating that the high mobilization of Arab voters and the participation of Israelis who traveled from abroad may not be repeated to the same extent.

In the meantime, the prime minister can focus on maintaining control of the Knesset and continuing to serve as head of a caretaker government.

On the other hand, Eisenkot's bloc could try to replace Netanyahu and the parliament speaker before the Knesset dissolves.

But even this action would require cooperation with Arab parties, a politically sensitive issue for part of the opposition.

The election result does not yet determine the winner of the battle for government. Although exit polls on election night suggested an opposition lead, the partial count has highlighted the difficulties in converting the mandates into a functional majority.

With the counting still underway, the future of the Israeli government will depend not only on the final distribution of seats in parliament, but also on the agreements that the parties will be willing to make.


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