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Sunday's match, decisive for Albania and in which pot it will end up

2026-11-13 16:03:58Sport SHKRUAR NGA REDAKSIA VOX

Sunday's match, decisive for Albania and in which pot it will end up

Football Meets Data's simulations give Albania a 65.6% chance of being in pot three, but the risk of finishing in pot four remains real. Sunday's challenge could also affect the Rossoneri's positioning for the EURO 2028 qualifiers draw.

Albania has not yet secured a place in the third pot for the EURO 2028 qualifiers. Although the situation has improved significantly in recent calculations, the Rossoneri continue to be in an open competition, where the next results could affect the final positioning.

Simulations published by Football Meets Data on November 12 give Albania a 65.6% chance of being in pot three and a 34.4% chance of finishing in pot four. An improvement of 13 points compared to previous calculations, but still not a guarantee of a position among the first 36 teams.

Attention is also on Belarus, Albania's direct rival in this competition. According to the same simulations, the Belarusians have a 34.4% chance of finishing third and a 65.6% chance of finishing fourth. This makes Sunday's match even more interesting, as it is important not only for the Nations League goal, but also for the positioning in the European Championship draw.

How does the situation appear in the five vases?

In the first pot, eight teams have already secured their place: Portugal, Spain, England, France, the Netherlands, Italy, Greece and Belgium. Denmark and Germany are very close, with a 98% and 97.6% chance respectively.

In the second pot, only Turkey and Switzerland are safe. Sweden, Austria and Bosnia-Herzegovina are very close to this objective, while a strong duel is taking place between Ireland and Kosovo for positioning in the second or third pot.

In the third pot, Romania, North Macedonia and Montenegro are assured. Albania, Belarus, Slovakia, Iceland and Georgia are among the representatives waiting to learn their final positioning.

Meanwhile, seven teams are certain to be in pot four: Cyprus, Finland, Moldova, Armenia, Kazakhstan, Latvia and San Marino. Albania and Belarus are still among the teams that could end up in this pot.

The fifth pot has already been secured by Malta, Azerbaijan, Lithuania, Gibraltar, Andorra and Liechtenstein.

For Albania, the objective is clear: to maintain their position in pot three and avoid a relegation to pot four, which could reserve them stronger opponents in the EURO 2028 qualifiers draw.


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