
The Professor of Seismology at AUTH, the Greek Institute of Seismology, Kostas Papazachos, makes a frightening prediction, stressing that at some point an earthquake will be experienced in the Greek area like the one in Turkey and we will have to face the consequences.
Speaking to public TV ERT, he was asked if an earthquake like the one in Turkey has happened in Greece and if others will happen and if we would have the same consequences in Greece, prof. Papazachos said that such earthquakes have also occurred in Greece.
He recalled the 7.5 Richter earthquake in Amorgos in 1956 and the 7.2 Richter earthquake in Kefalonia in 1953.
The seismologist professor also referred to an earthquake bigger than the one that happened in Turkey, in the year 365 of our era in western Crete, which had a magnitude of 8.2 Richter and had very big consequences in the Greek area, as it flattened everything.
That earthquake caused a great tsunami, which struck from Venice to the coasts of Lebanon and Egypt and great destruction throughout the Peloponnese and the region.
"So we have such earthquakes in the Greek area, this should worry us: how will we react and what will we do in the next case", emphasized Mr. Papazachos, adding that "at some point we will experience such an earthquake and we will have to face the consequences".
He clarified, however, that such earthquakes in the Greek area "generally have limited effects, mainly because they occur in maritime areas".
Asked at the start of the interview whether an earthquake like the one in Turkey could be predicted, he clarified that "we cannot predict exactly when an earthquake will happen" and recalled earthquakes like the one in 1822 in Aleppo - estimated to there were between 20,000 -60,000 dead – and of 1939 in Erzijan "in the North Anatolian area, closer to the Eastern Anatolian part, around their junction, which had about 35,000 dead and 100,000 wounded".
Here, Papazachos said that such earthquakes are not unknown in this particular area, "so we know that at the centennial level we have such earthquakes."
"Especially at the end of the 19th century we had about 4-5 such earthquakes until the beginning of the 20th century that broke most of it, in the most northeastern part of this particular fault.
So there is no prediction in the sense that we all understand that no one can say "the day after tomorrow there will be earthquakes, get out of your houses", but of course we know that this area is experiencing very large accelerations", said Papazachos.