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Kremlin advisor: Putin is offering Trump a way out, here are the conditions for the Russia-US agreement

2025-08-11 09:42:28Kosova&Bota SHKRUAR NGA REDAKSIA VOX
Kremlin advisor: Putin is offering Trump a way out, here are the conditions for
Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin

“I think Putin is offering Trump a convenient way out,” says Dmitry Suslov, deputy director of the Center for European and International Studies at the Higher School of Economics and a trusted Kremlin foreign policy adviser.

What does Putin expect from the summit in Alaska?

“There are two possible options. The first is for the two presidents to approve a bilateral Russian-American plan for achieving a ceasefire in Ukraine. This is essential from the Kremlin’s point of view: the agreement is between us and the United States, without Ukraine and Europe. This plan could include the withdrawal of Ukrainian forces from areas of Donbas where they are still present and the withdrawal of Russia from the Sumy, Dnipropetrovsk and Kharkiv regions, with the front line unchanged in other areas. I recall that a year ago Moscow had demanded from the Ukrainians a complete withdrawal from all four annexed provinces, while now it is only demanding that from Donbas. A key part of the agreement is Ukraine’s commitment not to join NATO.”

So it's not just about an exchange of territories.

"Of course not. The commitment not to join the Atlantic Alliance is the indispensable precondition of any ceasefire. Then the final agreements must, of course, also include the demilitarization of Ukraine and constitutional reform in a federal sense."

But this, in your position, was known. What are the real innovations?

"First, that Russia is now willing to talk about a ceasefire, not just a final agreement. Second, that Putin is asking for a little less of a ceasefire than he was a year ago."

You talked about two options. What is the second one?

"For Zelensky, supported by the Europeans, to reject this solution, and at that point Trump would cut off all military assistance to Kiev and even stop selling weapons to the Europeans, so that they could give them to Ukraine. But that would hasten its defeat and total collapse."

And why would Trump, in this case, act against Kiev, without taking any punitive measures against Moscow, as he had promised?

"If Trump supports the option of an agreement so strongly and almost enthusiastically, it is also because he has put himself in a difficult position, at the moment when he has asked China, India and Brazil to stop importing Russian oil, threatening them with secondary sanctions. China, of course, says no, but New Delhi and Brasilia would never do it either, and their refusal would be a problem for America: at that point, either Trump withdraws, looking weak, or gets involved in a serious political and trade conflict with China and two central BRICS countries, with unpredictable consequences. If, on the contrary, the summit in Alaska were a success, with the approval of a joint plan for a ceasefire in Ukraine, the fuse that he carelessly lit with China, India and Brazil would be deactivated and the American president could even present it as a historical merit. For this reason, we expect Trump to accept Putin's proposal. For him, it is, therefore, a way out."

Why Alaska? The symbolism of the place has been much commented on.

“It is true, it is a significant choice in historical and political terms. First, Alaska underlines the bilateral character of the summit. There is no place in the world more exclusively Russian-American than Alaska: far from Europe and Ukraine, very close to Russia. It emphasizes the fact that Putin and Trump, alone, are finding a solution to the war in Ukraine. Second, the one in Alaska will be the first full-fledged summit between Russia and the United States on American soil in 15 years; the last was in 2010, when Dmitry Medvedev visited Barack Obama in Washington. This shows a strong mutual will to turn the page of the conflict and improve our relations. Third, the agenda determined the choice of the place: in addition to Ukraine, the Arctic, a key point of bilateral relations, will be discussed. There is a strong confrontation in the region, potentially a theater of an armed conflict. Military activities of both Russia and the United States are increasing. But with the melting ice and greater accessibility "Largely, the Arctic is also the most promising area for the development of new economic cooperation relations between our two countries: joint research, exploration and exploitation of raw materials, trade."/Corriere della sera 


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