Le Monde Analysis: Five Geopolitical Reasons Why China Wants to Invade Taiwan

2022-08-20 21:21:06Kosova&Bota SHKRUAR NGA REDAKSIA VOX
Le Monde Analysis: Five Geopolitical Reasons Why China Wants to Invade Taiwan
Five Geopolitical Reasons Why China Wants to Invade Taiwan

The French newspaper Le Monde writes that China's plan to occupy Taiwan by force, if necessary, has several historical, strategic and geopolitical reasons. The most important are looking for an opportunity for the island to fall into her hands and disrupt American alliances in the region.

The paper details these five reasons in an article by Gary Dagorn, denying from the outset any legitimacy of Chinese rule over Taiwan.

Le Monde notes that Beijing, after denying its legitimacy to rule the island, suddenly changed its mind and began claiming it after surviving a civil war in 1949.

1- An attempt to rule the entire Chinese-speaking area

Stephane Corcuff, a sinologist and researcher at the Taipei-based French Center for Contemporary Chinese Studies, said the Chinese Communist Party considers the "Taiwan problem" an internal matter and does not allow any outside interference in the region, which China does not never checked.

He notes that "The Unification of China does not aim at the reunification of Taiwan and China, but at the annexation of a sovereign country, based on historical, ethnic and linguistic issues."

"China claims sovereignty over Taiwan by talking about reunification, but that term is absolutely inappropriate because Taiwan has never been Chinese," said researcher Marianne Peron-Doise of the Institute of International and Strategic Affairs.

2- The breakdown of American alliances

Today's China in 2022 bears little resemblance to Communist China in late 1949.

Its spectacular economic development in the second half of the 20th century allowed it to assert itself as a superpower and enter into competition with the United States of America.

However, the geography of the East and South China Sea regions and the alliances of its neighbors hindered China's ambitions for dominance.

"Beijing is somewhat confined to the China Seas and does not have free access to the Pacific Ocean because it is separated by a series of islands with which it has tense relations," says Marc Julienne, of the French Institute of International Relations.

He says that those islands have entered into mutual defense alliances with the Americans and that there are American air bases there.

The newspaper warns that one of the goals of the military annexation of Taiwan is to significantly weaken the American presence in the region and confirm Chinese hegemony, because "Taiwan is a kind of blockage in the Pacific Ocean for China", explains Marc Julienne.

The annexation will make the Chinese military capable of dissuading the US from intervening in the region, because its access will be difficult and "when the US is no longer able to defend Japan, the alliance will not last."

3- Extending the range of nuclear submarines

The annexation of Taiwan could be related to nuclear deterrence, especially its oceanic component, according to Le Monde, as many geographical elements limit the maneuverability of Chinese ballistic missile submarines.

The current network of two island chains allows US allies to easily spot Chinese submarines seeking to reach the Pacific Ocean.

Marc Julienne points out that "the Japanese, Americans and Taiwanese have very good anti-submarine warfare capabilities and are able to track this type of submarine," forcing the Chinese to rely on their surface-to-surface ballistic missiles, which are essentially more vulnerable than submarines because they can hide more easily.

4- Strengthening other territorial and maritime claims

Annexing Taiwan, according to Le Monde, would serve Beijing's other goals, such as its numerous territorial and maritime claims.

Researcher Doise says that "the problem of the Taiwan Strait should be placed again in the wider framework of the global expansion of Chinese naval power".

By controlling Taiwan, China can expand its exclusive economic zone and impose restrictions on the transportation of goods.

5- Dominating the semiconductor market in Taiwan

Finally, seizing Taiwan would allow the regime in Beijing to control the semiconductor industry there, which accounts for a large share of global output (63 percent).

These components are essential for the production of high-tech products such as phones, airplanes, solar panels… and are crucial to the global economy.


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