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CNN Analysis: Revenge or Diplomacy? After Trump's Attacks, Tehran's Response Will Determine the Fate of the Region

2025-06-22 16:48:42Kosova&Bota SHKRUAR NGA REDAKSIA VOX
CNN Analysis: Revenge or Diplomacy? After Trump's Attacks, Tehran's
Attacks in Fordow, satellite images

High probability of reaction from Iran, but how soon and to what extent? The choice that determines the "fate" of the region

US President Donald Trump's decision to strike Iran's nuclear facilities has plunged the Middle East into a dangerous and unpredictable situation. Attention is now focused on Tehran's response, a choice between diplomacy or revenge.

One possibility, analysts say, is for Iran to return to the negotiating table. Former Israeli military intelligence chief Amos Yadlin says the strikes could serve as a catalyst to end the war and save the regime. “Iran could negotiate and seek an end to the conflict, even on the basis of a ban on uranium enrichment,” Yadlin told CNN.

Another alternative would be a harsh reaction.

If Iran chooses to retaliate, it could draw not only the United States but the entire region into a long-term conflict. Analyst Barak Ravid says Iran has warned that it will attack American forces and interests in the region if the United States becomes directly involved in the war.

One possible and much-discussed move is to close the Strait of Hormuz, one of the world's most important oil shipping lanes. This would cause a sharp increase in energy prices and affect the global economy.

Senior advisers to the Iranian supreme leader have called for missile strikes and the closure of the strait, considering this "Iran's turn to act."

According to Middle East scholar Mohammad Ali Shabani, Iran has the ability to shake up global oil markets, fuel inflation, and undermine President Trump's economic agenda.

Meanwhile, Iran's supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, is facing a historic decision.

Analyst Aaron David Miller says it is almost impossible for an 86-year-old leader, dedicated to preserving the Islamic revolution and passing it on to his successors, not to react at all.

"There is a high chance that the reaction will come, the question is how strong and how fast," Miller concludes.

The choice Iran makes could determine the fate of the entire region and international relations in the coming weeks.


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