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Behind the scenes/ The real reason why Macron chose to go to early elections

2024-06-10 18:02:32Kosova&Bota SHKRUAR NGA REDAKSIA VOX
Behind the scenes/ The real reason why Macron chose to go to early elections
Macron announcing early elections

Anais Ginori – La Repubblica

A single gamble. "No, we didn't know," admits Clément Beaune, former councilor at the Elysee. "It's a political risk, but the other risk was being stuck without a majority for three years, further growing the extreme right," continues Beaune.

He shocked everyone, starting with his own. Emmanuel Macron, humiliated by the triumph of the extreme right in the European elections, has decided to leave the corner where he ended up. And to embark on a dangerous challenge, the outcome of which no one knows, not even him.

"It is a serious, heavy decision, but it is also an act of faith in the French people," he says on TV, announcing the dissolution of the National Assembly. "The extreme right is the impoverishment of the French and the underestimation of our country," he explains, describing the new battle in view of the vote in just twenty days.

Until a few days ago, Macron repeated that the European elections will not have "national political consequences". And instead, behind the scenes, reflection was already underway, shared with a very loyal few.

Someone whispered in the corridors of politics, but the hypothesis was immediately dismissed as suicide. The head of state, his companion explains, wants to try to repair a divided, angry, fragmented France, where the extreme right yesterday was almost 40%.

On this surprising evening, they say that a few days ago, while touring Normandy on the occasion of D-Day celebrations, Macron was struck by many French people, who confided in him their fears of a political violence that is growing and seems unstoppable, with right and left extremists. A violence that also focuses on his person, but this does not bother him.

"He is the only manager who cannot run again in 2027", observe the advisors, alluding to the limit of two mandates in the Elysee. A way to underline that the risk of early elections would be a "disinterested" gesture from the point of view of its trajectory.

And that the real driving force is responding to the gravity of the situation. The head of state, they say, has meditated in recent days on a phrase by Raymond Aron: "History is tragic and it is tragic for those who cannot measure it".

Macron was re-elected in 2022, but against Le Pen, on the promise of reining in the far right. He failed to do so and his second term was crippled by the lack of an absolute majority in the Assemblée Nationale. And therefore, the time has come for a "clarification".

Looking for a way out of the political impasse in which France finds itself. "When you ask the voters to speak, you are never wrong," say Macron's supporters.

"Pokerist", "Arsonist", shout some commentators. His advisers prefer to praise the "courage" of the leader. The bet is to discover the game of Le Pen and his team. Sing them with a quick shot: just three weeks to take over. And if they do go to govern, they will have to face the reality of power, a country in debt and EU rules that are difficult to circumvent as Giorgia Meloni experienced. A Machiavellian and indescribable calculation.

"We are running to win" answer the Macronists, who officially say that they do not foresee coexistence with the extreme right.

Yes, but how? The head of state sends signals to potential allies. The majority has announced - through the Foreign Minister, Stéphane Séjourné - that it will not present its candidates against the Republicans who leave their constituencies. A first outline of the "Republican Front", the ancient alliance against the far right that worked for decades in France, but which looks difficult to rebuild in a few days.

In short, the danger is there and Macron has decided to run it. But from his perspective, it is probably inferior to a slow death until 2027, and the hypothesis of leaving Le Pen the keys to the Elysee.

"I'm not going to end up like Obama," Macron told his followers a few months ago, recalling when the Democratic president's glamorous image was engulfed by Trumpism in the White House.


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