OPEN LETTER/ Come to the dialogue and listen to me speak, otherwise I will cut off your scholarships, you will rot in prison. Please!

 Kliko këtu për të tjera
Voxpress:

Global birth rates will decline dramatically by 2100

2024-03-21 10:16:14Lifestyle SHKRUAR NGA REDAKSIA VOX

Global birth rates will decline dramatically by 2100

A vast majority of countries around the world will not have high birth rates to support population size by 2100, according to a study recently published in The Lancet.

The latest projections further point to a "dramatic decline" in global fertility this century, which experts said has both "pros and cons".

Researchers led by the University of Washington's Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) in the US found that three-quarters of countries will not have fertility rates high enough to support population size by 2050.

By 2100, they predict this will be the case in 97 percent of countries, estimating that the total global fertility rate will fall from 2.23 births per woman over her lifetime in 2021 to 1.68 in 2050 and 1.57 in 2100.

In developed countries, a rate of 2.1 births per person who can bear children in their lifetime is necessary to maintain population levels. These projected rates do not "significantly differ" from United Nations population figures within the limits of error, according to a commentary attached to the study.

The UN said in 2022 that the global fertility rate is projected to fall to 2.1 births per woman by 2050. “World population is projected to peak at around 10.4 billion people during the 2080s and remain at that level until 2100 ,” according to UN population projections for 2022.

Projected fertility rates in Central, Eastern and Western European countries are all below the estimated global average for the years 2050 and 2100, and are already below what is needed to support population growth.

The total fertility rate in Western Europe is projected to fall from 1.53 in 2021 to 1.44 in 2050 and 1.37 in 2100. Italy, Spain and Andorra are projected to have the lowest fertility rates by then.

The rate in Eastern European countries is projected to fall from 1.38 in 2021 to 1.19 in 2100 and in Central European countries from 1.48 in 2021 to 1.21. Ukraine, Serbia, North Macedonia and Bosnia and Herzegovina were predicted to have the lowest fertility rates in 2100, with all under one birth per woman over her lifetime.

According to UN figures, Europe and North America are projected to peak in population size in the late 2030s, as fertility rates have been below two births per woman since the 1970s.

Fertility projections to 2100 were based on the average number of children born to women by the time they turned 50 and took into account education, met needs for contraceptives, population density and child mortality.


Në përputhje me standarded JTI

Video

SHIKO KANALIN NE YOUTUBE
×