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Israel's confrontation with the weakened Iranian regime: What lies behind the "Lion's Roar"?

2026-02-28 16:11:11Kosova&Bota SHKRUAR NGA REDAKSIA VOX
Israel's confrontation with the weakened Iranian regime: What lies behind
Trump, Netanyahu and footage from the attack on Iran

Sirens sounded for a long time throughout the Jewish state shortly after 6:00 a.m. A few seconds later, all mobile phones connected to any Israeli antenna sounded the alarm.

This time, it was more of a declaration of a state of alert than an invitation to take shelter in bomb shelters. The first few minutes were chaotic. Defense Minister Israel Katz made the official announcement on the social media platform Telegram. We are attacking.

He used the now-old formula of a preemptive strike. We are waging war, but only to defend ourselves, “to eliminate threats to the country.”

The fact that the United States was also participating emerged minutes later from leaks to the press.

It was not just a matter of time zones, but also political calculations by the White House. The large army sent by President Donald Trump to the Middle East had completed its deployment on Thursday. Diplomatic negotiations in Geneva were expected to resume with a fourth round of talks.

The first round had not gone very well, according to the American version, but there was still room for negotiation. Washington's demands, however, seemed like surrender: no uranium, no missiles, the only concession was non-interference in politics. There was no discussion of regime change in Geneva.

The message, seen through the eyes of today's bombings, was surrender and you can stay in power.

Trump had spoken of his reluctance, as an aspiring Nobel Peace Prize winner, to use violence, but “when necessary, it is necessary.” The die has been cast. The battle has begun. And once it begins, you never know how it will end.

The sky above Jerusalem is constantly filled with the roar of jet engines, spy planes, and flying tankers. It's military traffic designed to protect against missiles and potential Iranian attacks.

But Tehran's easiest target is not Israel, but American bases throughout the Middle East. It demonstrated its ability to do so during the twelve-day war in June 2025.

Unverified sources say the ayatollahs have armed their Iraqi militia allies with short-range missiles and drones. Although the Americans have evacuated many outlying bases and reduced diplomatic personnel everywhere, there are still many American flags in the region and defense against mobile and light missiles is far from simple.

What if Tehran is less rational than it was last June, when it gave itself time to evacuate the US base in Doha before attacking? What if 20, 50, 100 Marines die? How will Trump react?

The Iranian regime is in trouble militarily and due to internal disputes. And when someone is trapped, fighting for their life, they become capable of anything.

Preparations for this war have been in the works for at least 20 years, ever since Israel was forced to withdraw from southern Lebanon because the pro-Iranian militia Hezbollah was making the invasion too costly in terms of human lives and resources.

Since then, Israel has identified the Shiite resistance axis as its main enemy.

The technological advantage it has now gained allows for a showdown. Shiite missiles have served as a deterrent for years; the cost of an attack on Iran’s nuclear facilities would have been too high. Not anymore. Now the missiles and rockets are outmatched by intelligence that has allowed them to eliminate Hezbollah’s leadership, kill dozens of Iranian nuclear scientists on their doorstep, and send a drone into Iran’s most heavily fortified area to assassinate a Hamas leader.

It is time for Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu to exploit his newly acquired military superiority and his alliance with the US before things change. In Trump's Maga world, another preemptive war is not looked upon favorably.

It has been said that, for this reason, Trump would be reluctant to launch the first attack, but he does not seem to have hesitated to defend his Israeli friend. Now is the opportunity. Israel announces the attack, the US follows.

The strategic winner would still remain Israel, elevated to a regional power with no credible enemy.

The other, the axis between Turkey and Qatar, is much less prepared than Iran was until a few years ago. /Corriere della Sera


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