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Giorgia Meloni: Obstacles the extreme right will face to implement the radical agenda

2022-09-27 12:43:19Kosova&Bota SHKRUAR NGA REDAKSIA VOX
Giorgia Meloni: Obstacles the extreme right will face to implement the radical
Giorgia Meloni

The victory of Giorgia Meloni, leader of the Brothers of Italy party, makes her the favorite to lead the right-wing coalition formed by her party, the far-right League and Silvio's center-right Forca e Itaiia. Berlusconi.

The new government will face a long list of challenges such as rising energy prices, the war in Ukraine and the slowing Italian economy.

"Satisfied with the failures of the establishment parties, voters are now turning to the untested," writes The Economist.

However, this new government will have to face a number of difficulties to implement a program that brings, among other things, a huge economic cost to a country with public debt at record levels.

Clash with the Italian president and the Constitutional Court

Giorgia Meloni: Obstacles the extreme right will face to implement the radical

What would be the first female prime minister in the history of the Italian Republic clinched victory thanks to speeches in which she attacked irregular immigrants and called for the protection of "Italian identity".

But the reality is that power in Italy is limited in many ways, especially due to the roles of President Sergio Mattarella, and the newly elected president of the Constitutional Court, Silvana Sciarra, both known as impeccable centrists, as The Economist recalls.

One of the main obstacles he will have to overcome will be the choice of ministers. Every decision for the members of the council of ministers must be approved by the President of the Republic, who is a strong bone. It wouldn't be the first time a candidate has fallen.

In the same way, the Constitutional Court can overturn the laws that it considers contrary to the Constitution. However, despite the fear raised by the protection of family and Catholic values ​​from the extreme right, no major changes are expected at the legislative level on social issues.

On the issue of abortion, for example, there is no indication that it will be affected, at least in terms of legal coverage, although its implementation may become more difficult. Meloni made clear he has no plans to repeal the abortion law, which has been in place since 1978 and enjoys strong support. An attempt to repeal it was rejected in a referendum in 1981 by nearly 70% of voters.

The same goes for gay rights. Gay civil unions have been allowed since 2016 and, while there is no consensus in favor of gay marriage, there is no urgency to disallow them either. Meanwhile, in terms of births, she could try to launch an aid package for families with children, but Italy's high public debt does not leave much room.

Giorgia Meloni: Obstacles the extreme right will face to implement the radical

What is expected is an offensive against illegal migration.

However, when Matteo Salvini was last in government, between 2018 and 2019, he promised the same thing, but went against international law and European Union rules, which put limits on what can be done.

It should be borne in mind that European law is above national law, so the Court of the EU can strike down any measure it considers contrary to community law.

Agreements and relations with the EU

"The Prime Minister of Hungary, Viktor Orbán, is a very important ally for Melon, not only ideologically, but also because of the ultra-conservative values ​​they defend. At the European level, this could be an interesting pole of discussion with the EU," political analyst Franco Delle Donne, creator of the Epidemia Ultra podcast, explains to the BBC.

Giorgia Meloni: Obstacles the extreme right will face to implement the radical

"This may create some kind of internal opposition within the EU, but at the same time it will be conditioned by all the funds that Italy receives, especially if you consider the sanctions that Hungary will receive if it does not keep the same line with the EU" , adds the expert.

According to him, this will be one of the main challenges of the new government, "especially since it promised many things that cost a lot" and will soon try to divert the political discourse to other issues that are not economic issues.

In fiscal matters, the parties that will make up the new Italian government have proposed tax cuts. Meloni will seek to reverse some of the reforms that former Prime Minister Mario Draghi introduced in an effort to spur growth in a country weighed down by structural, cultural and demographic problems.

If the new government relaxes fiscal discipline and makes significant revisions to the reform agenda agreed by the previous government, it could put at risk the 200 billion euro ($192.3 billion) project of European recovery funds agreed by the pandemic. covid. To receive the next tranche of funds in December, Rome must meet 55 new targets.

"Even a right-wing government would not want to upset Brussels, whose money it depends on in many areas," Commerzbank expert Jörg Krämer told German newspaper Der Spiegel.

Draghi, who was president of the European Central Bank at the height of Europe's financial crisis a decade ago, has repeatedly resisted political pressure to widen the budget deficit. And this may be one of the first dilemmas Melon's government has to face.

His first test will be the fiscal budget, which must be approved in a tight autumn calendar. Bankers fear the new government will lose control of Italy's high debt ($2.7 billion, or more than 150% of GDP).

Likewise, the right-wing bloc has also opposed reforming an outdated tax system and liberalizing competition, two key reforms promised by Draghi to qualify for EU funds.

Great support from Italians for the EU and the euro

Giorgia Meloni: Obstacles the extreme right will face to implement the radical

Despite everything, the EU enjoys great support among the Italian people.

"In the last stages of the campaign, she tried to be a little more moderate, in terms of Euroscepticism," says Delle Donne.

It is true that, like Salvini, Meloni has talked in the past about getting rid of the euro or even leaving the bloc. But both have realized that EU membership is popular in Italy, where 71% of the population supports the euro.

"Italy is now part of this big bloc that is the EU and of international agreements that cannot simply be renegotiated overnight," Davide Angelucci, a political analyst at Italy's Luiss University, told Reuters.

"We also need to be as a state within institutions like the EU because of the structural problems we have. Let's think about the public debt of this country and all the weaknesses of the structural elements of our economy. We need the EU, as much as the EU needs Italy", he added.

As a result, the new government will be limited.

The Russian problem

Giorgia Meloni: Obstacles the extreme right will face to implement the radical

Unlike Salvini and Berlusconi, or even Le Pen and Orban, Meloni is not a supporter of Russian President Vladimir Putin. Since the invasion of Ukraine, she has been a strong voice in support of Ukraine and NATO.

"The issue of Putin and Russia is interesting because this is a contradiction that exists in many formations of the radical right, especially in Western Europe," explains Delle Donne.

According to Delle Donne, one of Meloni's problems will be dealing with the pro-Russian stance of politicians like Orbán. Showing up against Putin would pit him against some very important allies at the European level.

She will have to solve this problem even within her coalition

The solution will come through her ability to build an agenda. "We will see if she is able to make Italian public opinion pay attention to other issues that are more important to the radical right, such as migration and security."

"If she can get these public debates about it, she might not need to take a position on the war in Ukraine. Now, there's one thing she won't be able to control, and that's if inflation and energy prices skyrocket and sanctions against Russia appear again, there will be a complication there because he has to decide which side he is on. For now, it would be on the side of the West and against Russia, but he will have to choose and there he can to disappoint a lot of people among her voters," Delle Donne points out. /VoxNews

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